Sunday, October 22, 2017

THE PEOPLES PRINCESS OFF AND RUNNING,



With a pack of poodles in pursuit

Sadly for those who  wanted her as PM and sadder for those who didn't think a government chosen by the leader of a party of seven percent support, not forgetting how many of that just above a margin of error figure didn't want another bunch of seven percenters anywhere near the treasury,  would threaten this wonderfully successful nation  being propelled along a path that has remarkable similarities to a long list of abject failures where governments ignored lessons of history  and embraced socialism.

To claim it has only failed so far due to a lack of degree of application flies in the face of history.

Among a plethora of buzz words and slogans there are warnings aplenty in the absence of any actual policy to be scrutinised and studied.
"Let's do this,
"We will form a working group"
"We must have a conversation on that"
"We will reduce suicide rates to 0%"
"We will build thousands more houses'
"We will drastically reduce child poverty"
"Those who can afford to must pay more tax"
and her latest, what can really only be described as a 'Brain Fart' with no methane emission, "Capitalism is a Blatant failure".

The twentieth  century saw a parade of nations where socialism was based on previous capitalist success only to crash onto rocks of failure when the fundamental truth overcame the now un-protected  but available wealth.
"Socialism will only last so long as other peoples money is available to fund it."

It is a fact that pure capitalism has a potential to create victims if there is no effort to include compassion and fairness in its application but there will be many more "victims" when the basic drivers of capitalism are taken out by state ownership and control.
The Russian revolution was an early lesson when collectivization replaced individualism in food production. Millions starved to death and others were executed for failing to submit to the "state directives"
Even a peasant tilling leased land quickly understands how his success and failure begin with his efforts.
The parable of the Ant and The Grasshopper should sum it all up for even the thickest and indoctrinated who ignore another great principle socialism subverts, the creative spirit inherent in all of us at birth that will ensure success until the state promotes an alternative mirage.

Anyone who spends even minimal time studying history will quickly realise there are massively fewer people in this world suffering the abject poverty that was rampant across the globe only a few decades ago.
Almost all remaining "poverty" across the globe is perpetrated and left untreated by rulers who ignore the reality of the market, rulers who coincidentally, need a cadre of the poor to sustain their often illegal usurpation of political power.
Lange's stupid claim that agriculture was a "sunset industry"in the eighties was an ultimate revelation of the disconnect that socialist's hold around food creation, processing,  distribution and consumption.
Even Crats, Ivory Tower education elites and those who would rule us, judge us, and police us need food to sustain their increasingly disconnected lives.

Micky Savage's reforms of the 1930s in NZ were a necessary temporary correction of some serious fallout from an apparent failure of Capitalism that came from boom and bust cyclic phenomena, and while personal pride and the strong desire of the human spirit to take personal responsibility for their situation remained as it appeared that State could work to redistribute national wealth. That was until another natural human response that embraced such largess emerged entirely predictably, with the current widely held belief it is someone else to blame and welfare is an entitlement, no better illustrated than in Me Tu's hypocritical and all too widely supported fraudulently failing in her side of the intended welfare trade-off by not declaring her true status.
Now that was Blatant.

That is why talk of NZ following Venezuela into economic meltdown should be taken seriously.
Venezuela has a massive share of Oil reserves on Earth and no toilet paper.

Ardern's socialistic ideals when enabled by Peters self serving personally motivated behaviours is a clear and present danger that in the total absence of a fourth estate acting as  checks and balances, can potentially flourish. The pathetic Green Party who disregarded the many enticed by a natural concern for the planet, rejected any possibility of even exploring the mandate to make MMP work for all voters, in any form of association with the clearly largest supported option of all those said  voters. That amounted to a total abdication of their intended role as a smaller party in the perfect world intended to underpin MMP

What is to now stop declaration of a mythical State of emergency, the creation of a republic, and set  the stage for suspension of our democracy. Only a Governor General who could be replaced with someone more pliant to the views of the executive acting on the advice of our prime minister to Her Majesty. Just read the record on Frazer taking out St Gough Whitlam, the timing and manipulation were critical.

Police unions are now represented in the Parliament, the Judiciary is dominated by appointments from the last Labour led administration, the military is a shadow of its former self, the MSM and the public service seem to have morphed from an apolitical stance to the belief big government will solve all alleged problems  coupled  with the new government's  pledge to change our financial structures. Structures that  however it is viewed made a widely supported response to the GFC and are now the envy of many in the wider world who might understand such matters.


Ho Ho Ho

'THRILLING BLEDISLOE CUP TEST' ... NOT

TV1 News must have been watching a different game to the one I saw to come up with that headline.

It was a limp performance by the ABs.   Too many penalties given away; too many basic errors; too much kicking.  

Many of the senior players were MIA.

One is tempted to blame it all on the change of government but that would be to overlook the simple fact that on the night the AB s were bested by a far better team.

Saturday, October 21, 2017

ON THE CHANGE OF GOVERNMENT - AN AUSTRALIAN VIEW

“This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper,” wrote the poet TS Elliot.

So it must have seemed for the centre-right in New Zealand late on Thursday afternoon when the capricious Winston Peters snuffed out Bill English’s chance of staying in office and ended three terms of reforming government.

English will be celebrated as much for his eight years as finance minister under John Key as his 10 months as prime minister. Key and English were described more than once as the quiet achievers. The governments they led as the bore-cons introduced reforms in tax and welfare while balancing the budget without fanfare or fuss.

Seldom has the demise of a New Zealand government caused such political shockwaves on this side of the Tasman. In a period of near-universal political volatility, it raises the dispiriting possibility that simply governing well may no longer be enough.

The Key and English legacy compares starkly with Australia’s record over the same period. In 2008, when the National Party came to power, New Zealand was 24th on the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index, six places behind Australia. Since then the positions have been ­reversed. Today New Zealand is in 13th place on the index, eight positions ahead of Australia.
Its economy has grown by an average of 3.2 per cent since 2013 measured by GDP, partly driven by population growth and rebuilding after the Christchurch earthquake. Australia has ambled along at an average of 2.3 per cent.

New Zealanders are still poorer than Australians on average but they are catching up fast. Nine years ago GDP per capita in New Zealand was 30 per cent lower than in Australia, now the gap has narrowed to 19 per cent.

The relative change in economic fortunes has changed the migration flow across the Tasman. Inward ­migration from ­Australia exceeded outward ­migration last year for the first time in a quarter of a century.

If we assume that governments have the power to control the economy — which incidentally 33 per cent of Australians no longer believe, according to the most recent Australian Electoral Study — then Key and English governed exceedingly well by ­almost any measure.  They did so through an ­approach that was often radically different to that of Australia under the Rudd and Gillard governments. While treasurer Wayne Swan was doling out cash and spending billions on poorly conceived make-work projects to help Australia survive the 2008-09 ­financial crisis, English gave personal and business tax cuts.  New Zealand went into ­recession while Australia did not. But the New Zealand economy bounced back strongly and deficits were more easily contained. Everything Swan claimed would not work in Australia worked magnificently in New Zealand, setting the country up for a decade of investment and growth.

Today the New Zealand budget is in surplus while Australia is still running deficits. Ten years ago the New Zealand government’s gross debt stood at 25 per cent of GDP while Australia’s sat on 20 per cent. Today the positions are reversed. Australia’s net public debt is at 47 per cent; New Zealand’s hit a peak of 41 per cent in 2012 and has steadily declined to 38.2 per cent.

The achievements of Key and English are by no means limited to the economy, however.
English’s most important legacy may well prove to be a revolution in thinking about govern­ment and how it can best serve its citizens. The centre-right’s scepticism about government leads it to underestimate the extent to which the economy can be improved through the business of government, English told an audience in Melbourne two years ago when he delivered the John Howard Lecture
“If you compare it to the private sector, a business needs to understand its customers because they drive its revenue. In government, we need to understand our customers because they drive our costs,” he said.   Long-term welfare recipients topped the list of the government’s most expensive customers.
“Their lives are complex and often challenging. Their inter­actions with government agencies are usually chaotic and crisis-­driven, and therefore expensive and often ineffective.”

From this thinking flowed a new approach to welfare that has since been adopted by the Abbott and Turnbull governments to great effect.   In its second of two terms the ­National government first halted the long-term trend of rising welfare dependency and then ­reversed it. The number of New Zealanders claiming sole parent benefit has fallen by a quarter as 20,000 single parents found work. Long-term welfare dependency has fallen substantially. In 2012 78,000 New Zealanders had been collecting benefits for 12 months or longer. By June this year the number had fallen to 55,000.
The reductions have been achieved by focusing attention on the groups likely to place the heaviest demands on the welfare system over their lifetimes, using both carrot and stick to entice them back into the workforce.

The idea of calculating the ­future costs of welfare — the so-called actuarial approach — was pioneered by English. The success has exceeded expectations. The New Zealand Treasury estimates that the future cost of welfare payments has been cut by $NZ12 billion since its Better Public Service targets were introduced in 2012.

English saw no tension ­between good fiscal management and good social policy.

“The ideal outcome for a government is fewer customers, not more. Fewer dysfunctional families. Fewer parents who spend decades on welfare. Fewer people who commit crimes,” he told his 2015 Melbourne audience. “Sometimes I wonder if the post-war welfare state was set up to service misery, not to reduce it.”

English’s approach was founded firmly on the principles of Australian liberalism. Governments needed to recognise that people can do more for themselves, and usually want to.

The philosophy of the left, by contrast, was “of helplessness in the face of overwhelming forces that cannot be changed”.

The result of last month’s election could hardly have been predicted when Key stepped down as prime minister last December and English was unanimously elected to succeed him. The government’s strategy of taking the public with them on reforms, ­explaining the logic well in advance in language people could follow, adjusting ­expectations and then implementing the promised changes, was remarkably successful until the end.

It was an approach formed in response to the crash-or-crash-through approach of the 1990-99 National Party government. Its reforms were extensive, at times chaotic, frequently unexpected and thirsty on political capital. The failure to build a broad constituency sowed the seeds of the government’s ­demise.  Many of its policies were reversed by the Labour government that followed.

Key and English’s incremental radicalism — reform by stealth — was touted as a new model for centre-right governments elsewhere. Some of the reforms were unpopular with the electorate, like the sale of 49 per cent of three government-owned electricity companies. Yet the inclusion of the policy in the National Party’s 2011 election platform provoked no ­obvious backlash. The secret to ­reform, English later said, was to be predictable, transparent, consistent and upfront with voters.
The same approach enabled tax reforms unimaginable in the present Australian political climate. In 2010 the government cut all income tax rates and the company tax rate, funding it by an ­increase in GST and property taxes. The changes were largely uncontroversial, judged by voters to be balanced and fair.

English, the centre-right poster boy of the English-speaking world, looked crestfallen at ­Pe­ters’s decision to form a coalition with a Labour Party that looked down and out this time last year, as well he might. He had fought an energetic campaign against his youthful opponent, using his charm and the government’s outstanding record to great effect.

For 11 years he and Key had written a counter-narrative to that prevalent in Australia that reform was all but impossible in the era of Facebook and Twitter. While Australia appeared stuck in a policy drought, New Zealand was breaking new ground, discovering new ways to measure government programs by their results and finetuning them accordingly. Feel-good policy, sentimentalism and identity politics were anathema to them.

English and Key proved that centre-right parties were not condemned to be nasty parties, ­focused on numbers rather than people, as they doggedly cleared up their predecessors’ fiscal mess. Devoid of ideology, fiercely pragmatic, self-aware and inspired, the pair stands as inspiration to the rest of the developed world in these anxious and volatile times.

Nick Cater is executive director of the Menzies Research Centre.

LABOUR LEAKING LIKE A SIEVE ... ALREADY

Word is that the Hon Ruth Dyson, 'pissed' off at her failure to be appointed to Cabinet, fronted her Comrade leader and demanded and got the Deputy Speaker nomination.

Hmmmmm ... a person with a conviction for fighting in a public place and self confessed ticket scalper as Speaker and a convicted drunk as Deputy Speaker.

So much raw talent in the Labour/NZF/Greens Government.

Friday, October 20, 2017

Not a bad prediction

I wrote this on September 25.  My "checks" are in Red.

The country will be shocked when Winston abandons implicit protocol and forms a government with Labour.

He'll do that ostensibly for these reasons I think, none of which is to do with policy as Winston couldn't give a flying monkeys about policy.

  1. Jacinda Ardern and Grant Robertson et al are *so* desperate for power they'll fold much more easily than English/Joyce et al.  Mallard will ensure it so as to become speaker.  Check.
  2. Winston knows he will be able to walk all over Jacinda and Robertson and run rings around them in government - he's too crafty for them.  But this absolutely won't apply for English and his team.  Check.
  3. Winston's policy platform is very left and interventionist and matches nicely with Labour's.  Check.
  4. National has baggage after 9 years, even if their result on Saturday was astounding.  For example, if there is possibly stuff to come on Oravida's involvement with the damaged pipeline; and Jian Yang's problems with his "false" declarations (mind you, Raymond Huo doesn't look squeaky clean either), that will hurt the government and Winston won't want to be tainted by that.  On the other had, Labour comes with essentially "clean" hands.  Missed that one perhaps.
  5. Winston and the Nats don't see eye-to-eye.  They beat him in Tauranga; they've now just beaten him in Northland; they teamed up with Rodney Hide to kick him into touch in 2008.  Labour, on the other hand, has no such issues.  Check (I think).  
Forget what you read in the papers from Shaw and others, like Shaw won't accept second best etc etc.  The Greens will be in government, and have a couple of ministers outside cabinet (so Winston doesn't need to involve them) and he'll give them some candy like healthy homes and some other mush to keep them pleased.  Double-check.

The players in this will be Mallard, Annette King and Helen Clark.  Clark knows Winston better than others and will be in Jacinda's ear daily.  Unsure, but likely a check.

National should get ready for opposition.  Check.

QUESTION OF THE DAY

In recognition of Cam Slater's year long 'poodle faking' in support of Winston First and his repeated attacks on PM English and a number of other National Party ministers should not Whale Oil be better placed in 'Blog Roll Left' alongside 'No Right Turn' and 'The Daily Blog' el al.

Just askin?

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, October 19, 2017

THE FIRST WINSTON FIRST LIE

Taken from the NZ First website ... "Māori don’t need the Māori seats. They don’t need tokenism. That is why we commit to a referendum of all electors to retain or abolish the Māori seats".

Lie, lie lie.   When push came to the shove Winston walked away from his commitment.   It meant nothing ... except votes from those
who dared to believe.

How many ways to spell lie?

Things To Watch

Over the next six months:-

Unemployment

Mortgage rates

Exchange rates

Business investment





Six to twelve months

House prices

Net immigration

Mortgagee sales

Business closures

Beneficiary numbers

GDP growth (or non growth)


This is an excellent time to be in opposition.  Even Milt recognises a Pyrrhic victory when he sees one.




Some victories are sweeter than others...


...because there are some victories that put you in mind of Ian Gillan singing "I will drink your cup of poison."

Here's hoping this particular victory doesn't turn out to be a Pyrrhic one.  Still, for tonight at least,  fuck yes!  In your face, oligarchy of corrupt incompetents!  The next three years at least we get to do without a government of the people, by the rich, for the rich.  Chuffed.

WINSTONE (VIDKUN) PETERS ... COMRADE JACINDA'S POODLE

Let the push-back commence. 

Peters and the Greens ... would be funny if it wasn't so laughable.

Now The Sparks Will Fly

Peters has given the nod to Labour.  The incompetent led by the insufferable.

At least they an claim to have fixed housing affordability   Just watch as house prices in Auckland decline by 20%.  The dumb buggers who voted for Labour and Greens just cost them selves $100k per head.  Wait for the screams as the banks foreclose on all the inner city luvvies who find themselves in negative equity territory.

The currency already tanked well before the announcement and the rest of the economy will follow as private industry stops investing and employing.

Blenglish and everybody else will be quietly pleased as they prepare to aggressively destroy Peters and Adern from the opposition benches.

I Just Burst Out Laughing (Updated)

The headline:-

'Seriously difficult': Peters still hasn't decided who to go with'



Peters is giving NZ a preview of how dysfunctional any government in which his has a part will be.

I'm with the Vet on this one.

Blenglish should wash his hands of this fool and let Labour blunder on with him.

Update:-

Party officials, who did not want to be named on account of their not being authorised to speak, have disclosed that, miraculously, Mr Peters has two identical agreements from Labour and National.

The only problem is, National is offering unlimited supplies of Chivas Regal while Labour is offering unlimited supplies of JW Black Label

Mr Peters does not know what to do.

NEWSFLASH ... WINSTON TO FORM GOVERNMENT 'ALONE'

Impeccable sources have revealed to No Minister that this afternoon Winston First will announce he is going it alone to form a government and that he is seeking confidence and supply from both National and Labour sitting on the cross-benches.

NZF have decided the policy concessions offered by both National and Labour are to be bundled together and treated as one.   Their assessment is that this will be hugely popular in voter land and neither National or Labour (as granting those concessions) would have a moral mandate to oppose them.

A bonus for New Zealand is that there would be no outer cabinet and that the inner cabinet would be reduced to just 9.  

The Greens will become the official Opposition.   This will be their chance to show what they are capable of.

In a gesture of magnanimity and to show there are no hard feelings (and to stop him talking to himself) it is intended to nominate David Seymour as Speaker.

  

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

NOW THAT IS INCONVENIENT!



Certainly for Alphonse Gore perhaps.

During recent absences from interwebby connectivity with radio for info there was much ado  a few days ago about "a disaster currently unfolding for breeding pairs of Adele Penguins around Cape Bird in Antarctica possibly failing to rear any young this breeding season.

Abnormal sea ice making parents trips to gather Krill to feed their young too far and chicks dieing in their thousands from starvation.

Don,t many species of Whales have Krill as a staple so preventing killing whales for food might cause a reduction in total Krill supplies through species pressure?
Isn't sea ice supposed to be threatened so how come such a problem exists as we warm up?
Shouldn't there be a concentrated effort by Project Jonah type warriors to sort out the problem?
Perhaps the pathetic efforts to connect global warming and climate change with A.G.W. and consumption of carbon based fossil fuels  becoming kind of unravelled could be evidence of settled science being a somewhat mythical concept.

Could palm kernal supplements be a go?
What else could be used for supplementary food supplies?
Grass supplies seem extremely abundant this spring, says my lawn anyway.

That news had a  "and they all lived happy everafter" missing as regards this year's Adele Penguins harsh lifestyle.

Headline of the Week

In a piece on sexual harassment allegations against Weinstien's harve brother Bob.

"The Family That Preys Together...."

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

C'MON BILL, PULL THE PLUG

Fact ... being in parliament is all about being in government.   There is very little satisfaction in sitting on the opposition benches.   You might get the occasional victory when a government minister or MP stuffs up but much of your time is spent railing against decisions already made and which you can't change.

That's the conventional wisdom anyway.    Not so this time round.   Whoever Winston and his ratbag bunch of losers chose will themselves end up as losers.

So Bill, my advice to you is to pull the plug.   Let 'them' go with Labour and the Greens and watch the train-wreck develop.   Use the time to regenerate and refresh ... and yes, that probably means you will have to call 'time up' on yourself ... but you have been there and done that.   Your legacy is secure as an outstanding Minister of Finance who saw us through the GFC and the decade of deficits bequeathed to you by Labour.  

In opposition National will exercise substantial power through their shear weight of numbers in the House.   They will be the majority Party on all Select Committees.    They will have the ability to frustrate the government's legislative agenda should they choose to do so and at the same time be in a position to exploit the inherent contradictions in a coalition of where NZF and the Greens have about as much in common as Sunni and Shia Muslims do.

3 years (or shorter) pain for long term gain.   Pull the plug on the farce Bill, pull the plug.


Monday, October 16, 2017

The Farce Continues

The Herald reports 'talks continue.'

I'm sticking to my prediction that Peters will come to an arrangement with the National Party.

Peters knows that if he goes with Labour, they will tank the economy (and he doesn't know how to stop them) and a strong and aggressive opposition will pin the blame where it belongs.  On his venal shoulders.  That will see the end of Peters and the Winston First cult at the next election.  The one thing the Labour line up is good at is plotting and conniving and they'll direct all their talent into plotting against him.

He'll wind up with zero credibility and no legacy.

If he goes with National he will get his Maori seat referendum which will restore some credibility and he will have that momentous achievement as a lasting and positive legacy.

The only question remaining is, how long can he spin out his pathetic charade?

ON BOOZE

One of the papers presented at ALLAF2017 was from Cathy Clayton, project manager for the Oz National Drug Strategy Household Survey.   She managed the 2010, 2013 and 2016 surveys.   Her subject was alcohol consumption trends.     Some interesting stats.

The consumption of alcohol per capita in Oz has decreased 10% in the last decade.   The decline was particularly evident in the 18-24 year old cohort with the number in that cohort describing themselves as total abstainers rising from 12% to 18%.

But the stat that really had me interested was that the decline in the 19-24 cohort was offset to a degree by an increase in drinking in the 55-70 yo cohort.    Why would that be.   Lotsa speculation but no definite answers ... likely to be reciprocated in NZL as our drinking patterns are broadly in sync with those of our Oz cousins.

Be interested in your comment.
 

My Black Bastard is Better Than Your Black bastard.

If you ever wondered whether the most racist people on earth are blacks, go no further than this story from the glorious pages of American Black Lives Matter and university campus disruption.

It appears the young darlings of the Democrats have worked out that if you spend most of your time screaming obscenities at your President and making outrageous demands on university administrators, you might not have much time to achieve academic excellence.  However, this for them is no impediment.

Having discovered there are more black immigrants enrolled and graduating at their university than there are genuine American black bastards, they propose a ban on the enrollment of black bastards who were not born in America. 

Ya gotta larrrf doncha?  They must have been taking xeno lessons from The Honorable Mr Peters.

No wonder they are called Dumb black bastards.   And now they are running around the country demolishing statues of Stephen Foster.

All of which will ensure The President is re-elected in 2020.

ARE THE GREENS TO BE REFERRED TO THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION?

TV1 News is reporting that the Greens are set to hold a teleconference where 170 'delegates' will be asked to ratify any deal to establish a Labour/NZF/Green Party government.

Whooops ... over the last three weeks we have been told ad nauseam that the Greens constitution requires that any deal be ratified by 75% of their membership.

The Electoral Commission requires a political party to have 500 members for it to be registered.

Are the Greens saying they have only 170 members?

p..s.   At least it appears the Greens are up with the teleconference bit unlike a certain other Party


Sunday, October 15, 2017

MORE MUSINGS

Back only to find that Winston's commitment to anoint either Bill or Cindy by 'Writ Day' had about as much substance as his commitment to hold a referendum on the retention of the Maori seats.   Honestly, did anyone expect anything else?

The politicians, senior public servants and others I met in Oz were almost united in their bewilderment that New Zealanders might be in for a change of government.   To say they admire the way our economy is being managed is the understatement of the year.    There were a number who do business in New Zealand.   Fascinated with their comment that doing business in New Zealand was far easier than doing it at 'home'.

The price of beer in Brisbane (at least in the entertainment precinct) is enough to drive people to drink.   Four pints of tap beer (Peroni and some other concoction I had never heard of ) and $2 change from a $50 note.    

Turnbull and Shorten seem to be disliked in about equal measure.   Abbott is becoming a bit if a joke ... much in the mold of Muldoon and the 'Sunday Club' and dreaming of a return that ain't gonna happen.   Collectively they provide the reason for the rise of Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party ... much like NZ First with one important difference.   Hanson makes Peters look statesmanlike.

And so it is that we are all waiting with baited breath until Monday or Tuesday or whatever.   This crap about the NZ First Board having the final say needs to be called out for what it is ... a charade pure and simple ... perfectly summed by by Peter Brown, longtime ex Deputy Leader to Peters, when he said a few days ago that Winston recommends and the Board follows 'lemming' like.   Put it this way ... were the Board to reject Winston's recommendation (and he has to lead on this) it would be to reject Winston as leader ... and pigs fly.

One final point.   We know there is a certain suspicion of technology among the elderly but surely even NZ Firsters have heard of video conferencing ... why the need to gather face-to-face in 'Sodom' ... and a question ... whose paying?    Answer ... go figure.


Ho Ho Ho (The best is the last)

Saturday, October 14, 2017

Not A Bad Week.....

...for President Trump, that is.

First, an executive order strips out most of the severe problems associated with Obamacare.

Second, an excellent speech delivers a much needed torpedo into the Mad Mullahs of Tehran.

Where in all this is the GOP and it's Congress?

Nowhere to be seen except when it comes to sabotaging the President's efforts to keep his election promises.   No wonder David Farrar muses on the possibility of the President running as an independent in 2020.

Never has there been such a transformation from hero to traitor as can be seen in the person of the disgraceful John McCain.

Friday, October 13, 2017

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, October 12, 2017

And The Mafia Decides........

It's all too funny for words.

Peters has refused to identify the NZFirst board members who will decide with whom the party makes an accommodation.  The Herald identifies recent members:-

The Herald has confirmed members have recently included the following who had to have their names changed by deed poll, in order to become part of Winston First.
:
• Winston Peters, leader.
• Winston Mark, deputy leader.
• Winston Catchpole, president and former MP.
• Winston Martin, party secretary and mother of MP Tracey Martin.
• Winston Ellen, treasurer.
• Winston Paul, North Island vice president. Works in sales and teaches martial arts and stood in Epsom at the election.
• Winston Thorn, South Island vice-president.
• Winston Campbell-Smith, director general ex-officio.
• Winston Gardener. A former party president.
• Winston Ashley.
• Winston Greening. A Papakura-based information engineering consultant and Manurewa local board member.
• Winston Andrews.
• Winston Sara, stood in Nelson at the election.
• Winston Monds. An Aucklander and part of a growing number of young people involved in the party.

Reason Number Eleventyleven............

..........why President Trump will be re-elected in a 2020 landslide;

Here's the money quote.

In fact, the eight months following President Trump’s inauguration are the only months since February 2009 in which 60 percent or more of Americans were employed and it’s been above 60 percent for every month of the Trump presidency. In September, the percentage of Americans who were employed reached 60.4 percent. The last time it was this high was January 2009, the month President Obama took office.

Finally, the jobs are better. Since January, the number of people working full time has increased by two million while the number working part time increased by only 245,000. In September alone, the number of people working full time increased by 935,000. This helps explains why average hourly wages have grown by 2.9 percent over the past 12 months, the highest level of annual wage growth in more than eight years.
Bottom line, thanks in great part to President Trump’s deregulation efforts, businesses across the country are hiring and more Americans are working better jobs for higher pay. 

You need to read that twice for the real message to sink in.  The dates are significant.

Obama deliberately tanked the American economy.  So much for 'fundamental transformation.'

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Another post election prediction

I've changed my mind.  I think Winston is going to support National.  His behaviour toward the Greens is telling.  He can tell the country that they're loopy and he can't be in government with them, or something like that.

I might change my mind back again tomorrow though.


Belligerosity

As an assortment of armchair diplomats/warriors/strategists/wise-arses pontificate on what might or might not happen in North Korea, various military and non military 'solutions' are suggested.

Well, I'm going to join the fray.   Adolf has as much military and diplomatic experience as President Trump so, I am eminently qualified to have a say.

First off, I'd have to say I'm somewhat sceptical about reports of 6,500 artillery pieces and 3,500 multiple rocket launchers allegedly embedded in the hills north of the DMZ, threatening the city of Seoul.   For some perspective, note that one of largest artillery bombardments in history took place at El Alemain in 1942, using just 822 guns, firing some 930,000 shells over five hours.   The largest ever barrage was fired against Germany by Russia in 1944, delivering over 500,000 shells in half an hour from 9,000 guns.

Secondly, as I have said elsewhere, I suggest the use of nuclear weapons by either side is unlikely.  The Yanks don't need to and Kim will have his shot out of the air.

Has anyone contemplated how many men and what resources are needed to keep 10,000 guns ready for action 24/7?   I doubt very much the figure is anywhere near 10,000 but of course, nobody really knows because Gareth Morgan didn't visit the site when he was there.

However, the threat to 22 million civilian residents of Seoul is very real, whether it be from 100, 1,000 or 10,000 guns.   A 500 shell volley of 150mm ordnance fired into a heavily populated area over ten minutes might well kill more than a few thousand people.

Accordingly, I see the perceived or real artillery threat to be one the Norker Porker's trump cards.  (Did you like that one?) 

Remove the artillery threat and much of the past bluster from NK is rendered redundant. 

I suspect such an option is high on the list for the US and South Korea.  I have seen no published acknowledgement of its existence but then again, the real deal is unlikely to be leaked to slavering journalists and commentators.

All it would take would be China's secret but explicit  agreement to a limited military strike which achieves no more and no less than the destruction of North Korea's southern artillery.     A non-nuclear aerial assault using cruise missiles, stealth bombers and B52s might see the game over within half an hour or so.

Kim Jong is substantially weakened  and the obliteration of his regime using conventional weapons becomes many times easier to achieve without civilian casualties in South Korea.  (Whether China would agree to such a second stage is moot.)

So what happens then?  I suspect South Korea would make very loud noises and China might quietly move in and take over it's new southern province.